Harley-Davidson Announces 2007 Second Quarter Results

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Mark Van Genderen – Financial Contact
414-343-8002
Bob Klein – Media Contact

414-343-4433

MILWAUKEE, July 19 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) today announced its results for the second quarter ended July 1, 2007. Revenue for the quarter was $1.62 billion compared to $1.38 billion in the year ago quarter, a 17.7 percent increase. Net income for the quarter was $290.5 million compared to $243.4 million, an increase of 19.3 percent over the second quarter of 2006. Second quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.14, a 25.3 percent increase compared to last year’s $0.91. During the second quarter the Company repurchased $429.9 million of its common stock.

“During the second quarter, we shipped 95,117 Harley-Davidson(R) motorcycles to our dealers around the world, driving strong financial results,” said Jim Ziemer, Chief Executive Officer of Harley-Davidson, Inc. “On the retail side of the business, our dealers’ sales were down 1.2 percent worldwide during the quarter, with U.S. dealers’ sales down 5.5 percent and international retail sales growing at double digit rates. Retail sales in every major country in Europe were up during the quarter, resulting in 13.7 percent growth in total European sales. Japan, Canada, and all other international markets grew at a combined rate of 13.4 percent,” he said.

“Last week at our annual dealer meeting in Nashville, Tennessee, we introduced our new line of 2008 models including the spectacular, limited edition 105th Anniversary motorcycles. A new Dyna Fat Bob(TM) motorcycle, along with the ground-breaking new Rocker(TM) and the Rocker(TM) C models, completely redefine the custom motorcycle category. And to top that off, we unveiled significant new features for our touring motorcycles, a major power increase for the VRSC(TM) models, and the first liquid-cooled Buell(R) motorcycle, the 1125R. Products like these reaffirm our heavyweight category leadership,” said Ziemer.

The Company expects to ship between 91,000 and 95,000 Harley-Davidson motorcycles during the third quarter of 2007. For the full year of 2007, Harley-Davidson continues to expect EPS growth in the range of 4 – 6 percent compared to 2006 based on moderate revenue growth, lower operating margin, and the benefits of our strong free cash flow. Looking ahead to 2008 and 2009, the Company expects solid revenue growth, operating margin improvement and the continued benefits of strong free cash flow to drive EPS growth in the range of 11 – 17 percent.

“While we remain comfortable with this guidance, U.S. retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the first half of the year have not met our expectations. As a result, we will continue to closely monitor the retail environment and regularly assess our planned wholesale shipments throughout the remainder of 2007,” said Ziemer.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment – Second Quarter Results

Revenue from Harley-Davidson motorcycles was $1.25 billion, an increase of $226.4 million or 22.0 percent versus the same period last year. Shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles totaled 95,117 units, an increase of 15,321 units or 19.2 percent compared to last year’s second quarter.

Revenue from Parts and Accessories (P&A), which consists of Genuine Motor Parts and Genuine Motor Accessories, totaled $263.4 million, an increase of $11.7 million or 4.6 percent over the year-ago quarter. Revenue from General Merchandise, which consists of MotorClothes(R) apparel and collectibles, totaled $72.7 million, an increase of $5.6 million or 8.4 percent over the year-ago quarter.

Gross margin for the second quarter of 2007 was 37.4 percent of revenue compared to 37.5 percent for the second quarter last year. Second quarter operating margin increased to 23.8 percent from 23.6 percent in the second quarter of 2006.

Motorcycle Retail Sales Data

During the second quarter, worldwide retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 1.2 percent compared to the prior year second quarter. In the U.S., retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 5.5 percent for the quarter. The heavyweight motorcycle market in the U.S. decreased 6.2 percent for the same period. Retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles grew 13.6 percent in international markets during the second quarter of 2007 compared to the second quarter of 2006. Second quarter retail sales increased 13.7 percent in Europe; Canada was up 9.9 percent; and Japan was up 5.2 percent. All other international markets combined were up 27.4 percent.

Financial Services Segment

Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS) reported second quarter operating income of $65.2 million, an increase of $9.0 million or 15.9 percent compared to the year-ago quarter. The increase is primarily due to a higher securitization gain, increased net interest income and growth in fee income.

Income Tax Rate

The Company’s second quarter effective income tax rate was 35.5 percent compared to 36.0 percent in the same quarter last year. This decrease primarily reflects the reinstatement of the federal research and development tax credit.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. – Six Month Results

For the first six months of 2007, revenue totaled $2.80 billion, a 5.1 percent increase over the year-ago period. Earnings per share were $1.89, an increase of 6.8 percent compared to the same period last year.

Through the first six months of this year, shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were 162,878 units, a 2.2 percent increase compared to last year’s 159,302 units. Harley-Davidson motorcycle revenue was $2.15 billion, up 5.4 percent compared to last year’s $2.04 billion. P&A revenue totaled $451.6 million, a 3.9 percent increase over last year’s $434.7 million. General Merchandise revenue totaled $148.8 million, a 9.7 percent increase compared to $135.6 million during the same period in 2006.

HDFS operating income was $124.1 million, a 15.1 percent increase over last year’s $107.9 million.

Cash Flow

Cash and marketable securities totaled $723.4 million as of July 1, 2007. Cash flow from operations was $1.06 billion, and capital expenditures were $86.0 million during the first six months of 2007. For the full year of 2007, capital expenditures are expected to be between $300 million and $325 million.

Stock Repurchase

The Company repurchased 6.7 million shares of its common stock at a cost of $429.9 million during the second quarter of 2007. On July 1, 2007, the Company had 251.2 million shares of common stock outstanding.

As of July 1, 2007, there are 15.2 million shares remaining on a board- approved share repurchase authorization. An additional board-approved share repurchase authorization is in place to offset option exercises.

Company Background

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the group of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company, Buell Motorcycle Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Harley-Davidson Motor Company, the only major U.S.-based motorcycle manufacturer, produces heavyweight motorcycles and offers a complete line of motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel, and general merchandise. Buell Motorcycle Company produces sport motorcycles. Harley- Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers.

Forward-Looking Statements

The Company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are “forward-looking statements” intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the Company “believes,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “plans,” or “estimates” or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward- looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward- looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the Company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

The Company’s ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the Company’s ability to (i) continue to realize production efficiencies at its production facilities and manage operating costs including materials, labor and overhead, (ii) manage production capacity and production changes, (iii) manage supply chain issues, (iv) provide products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (v) develop and implement sales and marketing plans that retain existing retail customers and attract new retail customers in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (vi) sell all of its motorcycles and related products and services to its independent dealers and distributors, (vii) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributor and dealer network, (viii) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (ix) adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (x) manage regional and worldwide demographic trends and economic and political conditions, including healthcare inflation, pension reform and tax changes, (xi) manage the credit quality and recovery rates of HDFS’s loan portfolio, (xii) retain and attract talented employees, (xiii) detect any defects in our motorcycles to minimize delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, increased warranty costs or litigation and (xiv) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology solutions and secure data contained in those systems. In addition, the Company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the Company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The Company’s ability to sell all of its motorcycles and related products and services also depends on the ability of the Company’s independent dealer network to sell them to retail customers. The Company depends on the capability of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the Company.

In addition, the Company’s independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.